Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10620/18441
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dc.contributor.authorKettlewell, Nathan-
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-31T23:39:41Z-
dc.date.available2021-05-31T23:39:41Z-
dc.date.issued2021-
dc.identifier.isbn1472-6963en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10620/18441-
dc.description.abstractBackground: This study aims to evaluate the informational content of people’s subjective probability expectations for using various health services. Methods: Using a sample of 1,528 Australian adults (25-64 years), I compared stated probabilities of visiting various health service providers (hospitals, dentists, optometrists, physiotherapists and related care providers, naturopaths and massage therapists) with past utilization and with predicted utilization estimated out-of-sample. I also estimated whether past utilization and subjective expectations were predicted by the same covariates. Finally, I estimated whether subjective expectations had predictive power for the choice to purchase private health insurance conditional on past utilization and other controls. Results: Subjective expectations closely reflect patterns of observed utilization, are predicted by the same covariates as observed utilization, and correlate with objective measures of risk. Subjective expectations also add predictive power to models estimating insurance take-up, even after conditioning on prior health care use and other risk factors. Conclusion: The findings are indicative that on average people form quite accurate expectations, and support collecting subjective expectations about health services in household surveys for use in applied research.en
dc.titleThe informational content of subjective expectations for health service useen
dc.typeJournal Articlesen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-021-06464-7en
dc.identifier.urlhttps://bmchealthservres.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12913-021-06464-7en
local.contributor.institutionUniversity of Technology Sydneyen
local.subject.policyTheses and student dissertationsen
dc.identifier.surveyHILDAen
dc.description.keywordsSubjective expectationsen
dc.description.keywordsBeliefsen
dc.description.keywordsSubjective probabilitiesen
dc.description.keywordsHealth insuranceen
dc.description.keywordsHealthcare demanden
dc.identifier.refereedyesen
dc.identifier.volume21en
dc.description.pages14en
local.profile.orcid0000-0002-0478-1372en
local.identifier.emailNathan.Kettlewell@uts.edu.auen
dc.identifier.emailNathan.Kettlewell@uts.edu.auen
dc.title.bookBMC Health Services Researchen
dc.subject.dssHealth and wellbeingen
dc.subject.dssSurveys and survey methodologyen
dc.relation.surveyHILDAen
dc.old.surveyvalueHILDAen
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.openairetypeJournal Articles-
item.grantfulltextnone-
item.fulltextNo Fulltext-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
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