Decomposing the Consumption Response to Monetary Policy Shocks in Australia
Survey
HILDA
Author(s)
Geraghty, Jessica
jgeraghty871@gmail.com
Stockholm School of Economics
Date Issued
2022-06
Pages
55
Keywords
Consumption
Monetary policy transmission
Marginal propensity to consume
Income distribution
Household heterogeneity
Abstract
Does monetary policy affect households differently depending on their position on the
income distribution? If so, what drives the differences? This paper attempts to answer these
questions by decomposing changes in consumption following a monetary policy shock into several
direct and indirect channels of transmission. Although direct channels of transmission are the most
important in traditional representative agent models, the indirect channels are dominant when
households are heterogeneous. Using household-level data from Australia, households are
grouped into income quintiles and allowed to differ in terms of their marginal propensity to
consume, their balance sheet exposures and the sensitivity of their income to economic activity.
The net impact of the monetary policy shock is calculated by aggregating the changes in
consumption from each of the transmission channels.
An interest rate reduction stimulates the consumption of low-income earners the most, while
high-income earners experience the smallest increase. This result is mostly explained by the capital
gains channel, and to a lesser extent, the income channel. Changes in consumption through these
indirect channels of transmission outweigh changes through the direct channels, for all income
quintiles. Within quintiles, groups with sizable asset holdings such as retirees and homeowners,
experience the largest changes in consumption. Though these results reflect unique aspects of the
Australian context, they also align at a high level with other studies finding that expansionary
monetary policy reduces inequality. More broadly, they demonstrate the importance of accounting
for household heterogeneity to better understand the transmission of monetary policy and its
distributional effects.
income distribution? If so, what drives the differences? This paper attempts to answer these
questions by decomposing changes in consumption following a monetary policy shock into several
direct and indirect channels of transmission. Although direct channels of transmission are the most
important in traditional representative agent models, the indirect channels are dominant when
households are heterogeneous. Using household-level data from Australia, households are
grouped into income quintiles and allowed to differ in terms of their marginal propensity to
consume, their balance sheet exposures and the sensitivity of their income to economic activity.
The net impact of the monetary policy shock is calculated by aggregating the changes in
consumption from each of the transmission channels.
An interest rate reduction stimulates the consumption of low-income earners the most, while
high-income earners experience the smallest increase. This result is mostly explained by the capital
gains channel, and to a lesser extent, the income channel. Changes in consumption through these
indirect channels of transmission outweigh changes through the direct channels, for all income
quintiles. Within quintiles, groups with sizable asset holdings such as retirees and homeowners,
experience the largest changes in consumption. Though these results reflect unique aspects of the
Australian context, they also align at a high level with other studies finding that expansionary
monetary policy reduces inequality. More broadly, they demonstrate the importance of accounting
for household heterogeneity to better understand the transmission of monetary policy and its
distributional effects.
URI (Link)
External resource (Link)
Type
Theses and student dissertations
File(s)Decomposing the Consumption Response to Monetary Policy Shocks in Australia.pdf (1.36 MB)
Decomposing the Consumption Response to Monetary Policy Shocks in Australia
